We Think Hygeia Healthcare Holdings (HKG:6078) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Hygeia Healthcare Holdings Co., Limited (HKG:6078) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is Hygeia Healthcare Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Hygeia Healthcare Holdings had CN¥2.78b of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥651.6m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.13b.

How Strong Is Hygeia Healthcare Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hygeia Healthcare Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.46b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥651.6m as well as receivables valued at CN¥879.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.72b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Hygeia Healthcare Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥8.45b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

View our latest analysis for Hygeia Healthcare Holdings

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

We'd say that Hygeia Healthcare Holdings's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.1), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 11.6 times, makes us even more comfortable. Unfortunately, Hygeia Healthcare Holdings saw its EBIT slide 5.9% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hygeia Healthcare Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hygeia Healthcare Holdings recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Hygeia Healthcare Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. We should also note that Healthcare industry companies like Hygeia Healthcare Holdings commonly do use debt without problems. We think that Hygeia Healthcare Holdings's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. In light of our reservations about the company's balance sheet, it seems sensible to check if insiders have been selling shares recently.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.