Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Medlive Technology (HKG:2192) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Medlive Technology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.013 = CN¥60m ÷ (CN¥4.6b - CN¥133m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, Medlive Technology has an ROCE of 1.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Healthcare Services industry average of 9.1%.
View our latest analysis for Medlive Technology
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Medlive Technology compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Medlive Technology here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Medlive Technology, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last four years, returns on capital have decreased to 1.3% from 41% four years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, Medlive Technology has decreased its current liabilities to 2.9% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line On Medlive Technology's ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Medlive Technology. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 44% in the last year. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.
Like most companies, Medlive Technology does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Medlive Technology may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2192
Medlive Technology
Operates an online professional physician platform in Mainland China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.