What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Medlive Technology (HKG:2192), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Medlive Technology is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.014 = CN¥65m ÷ (CN¥4.9b - CN¥190m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Thus, Medlive Technology has an ROCE of 1.4%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Healthcare Services industry average of 9.7%.
View our latest analysis for Medlive Technology
In the above chart we have measured Medlive Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Medlive Technology .
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Medlive Technology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 41%, but since then they've fallen to 1.4%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Medlive Technology has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 3.9% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
Our Take On Medlive Technology's ROCE
While returns have fallen for Medlive Technology in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. In light of this, the stock has only gained 4.0% over the last year. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Medlive Technology (of which 2 are concerning!) that you should know about.
While Medlive Technology isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:2192
Medlive Technology
Operates an online professional physician platform in Mainland China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.