Stock Analysis

Jinxin Fertility Group (HKG:1951) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1951
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Jinxin Fertility Group Limited (HKG:1951) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that 1951 is potentially undervalued!

What Is Jinxin Fertility Group's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Jinxin Fertility Group had debt of CN¥3.99b, up from CN¥154.4m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.38b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.61b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1951 Debt to Equity History December 11th 2022

How Strong Is Jinxin Fertility Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jinxin Fertility Group had liabilities of CN¥2.75b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.62b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.38b in cash and CN¥446.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.53b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jinxin Fertility Group has a market capitalization of CN¥16.8b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Jinxin Fertility Group's net debt is 4.7 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 34.8 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Also relevant is that Jinxin Fertility Group has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 24% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jinxin Fertility Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Jinxin Fertility Group burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Jinxin Fertility Group is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Jinxin Fertility Group commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Jinxin Fertility Group's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jinxin Fertility Group you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.