Want Want China Holdings Limited

SHSC:151 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$52.0b

Want Want China Holdings Valuation

Is 151 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 151 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 151 (HK$4.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$11.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 151 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 151?

Key metric: As 151 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 151. This is calculated by dividing 151's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 151's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.7x
EarningsCN¥4.12b
Market CapCN¥48.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 151's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 151 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.6x
322 Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding
15.2x9.1%HK$55.0b
6186 China Feihe
13.3x7.6%HK$50.8b
2319 China Mengniu Dairy
14.4x10.8%HK$65.2b
288 WH Group
11.4x8.3%HK$87.8b
151 Want Want China Holdings
11.7x4.1%HK$52.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 151 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 151's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
809 Global Bio-chem Technology Group
0.2xn/aUS$97.21m
3889 Global Sweeteners Holdings
2.4xn/aUS$27.94m
No more companies available in this PE range
151 11.7xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 151 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Food industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 151's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

151 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 151 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 151 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$4.40
HK$5.57
+26.6%
18.3%HK$8.66HK$3.59n/a20
Nov ’25HK$4.92
HK$5.82
+18.3%
16.9%HK$8.81HK$3.90n/a20
Oct ’25HK$5.34
HK$5.89
+10.4%
17.1%HK$8.93HK$4.02n/a20
Sep ’25HK$4.51
HK$5.83
+29.2%
17.5%HK$8.81HK$3.96n/a19
Aug ’25HK$4.74
HK$5.74
+21.2%
17.5%HK$8.68HK$3.90n/a19
Jul ’25HK$4.72
HK$5.58
+18.3%
13.6%HK$6.77HK$3.90n/a18
Jun ’25HK$4.71
HK$5.62
+19.2%
13.2%HK$6.80HK$3.59n/a18
May ’25HK$4.47
HK$5.55
+24.0%
15.5%HK$6.81HK$3.60n/a18
Apr ’25HK$4.62
HK$5.57
+20.6%
15.8%HK$6.82HK$3.46n/a18
Mar ’25HK$4.26
HK$5.59
+31.2%
15.9%HK$6.85HK$3.47n/a18
Feb ’25HK$4.30
HK$5.62
+30.8%
15.9%HK$6.89HK$3.49n/a18
Jan ’25HK$4.72
HK$5.78
+22.5%
14.7%HK$7.90HK$3.72n/a19
Dec ’24HK$4.66
HK$5.90
+26.5%
12.4%HK$7.87HK$4.93n/a19
Nov ’24HK$4.79
HK$5.87
+22.5%
12.5%HK$7.67HK$4.69HK$4.9219
Oct ’24HK$5.11
HK$5.94
+16.2%
11.4%HK$7.68HK$4.95HK$5.3419
Sep ’24HK$5.19
HK$5.97
+15.0%
11.4%HK$7.72HK$4.98HK$4.5119
Aug ’24HK$5.48
HK$6.02
+9.9%
11.4%HK$7.79HK$5.02HK$4.7419
Jul ’24HK$5.20
HK$5.95
+14.3%
9.7%HK$6.90HK$5.00HK$4.7218
Jun ’24HK$4.90
HK$6.02
+22.9%
12.4%HK$7.91HK$5.23HK$4.7119
May ’24HK$5.00
HK$6.17
+23.4%
12.5%HK$8.17HK$5.25HK$4.4719
Apr ’24HK$5.05
HK$6.19
+22.6%
12.3%HK$8.17HK$5.25HK$4.6219
Mar ’24HK$5.10
HK$6.17
+21.0%
13.1%HK$8.40HK$5.18HK$4.2619
Feb ’24HK$5.13
HK$6.23
+21.5%
14.9%HK$8.59HK$4.43HK$4.3019
Jan ’24HK$5.22
HK$6.49
+24.2%
25.1%HK$11.94HK$4.30HK$4.7220
Dec ’23HK$5.20
HK$6.42
+23.5%
24.8%HK$11.79HK$4.31HK$4.6620
Nov ’23HK$5.34
HK$7.02
+31.5%
19.6%HK$11.56HK$5.28HK$4.7920

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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