China Feihe Limited

SEHK:6186 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$49.9b

China Feihe Valuation

Is 6186 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6186 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6186 (HK$5.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$14.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6186 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6186?

Key metric: As 6186 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6186. This is calculated by dividing 6186's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6186's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
EarningsCN¥3.57b
Market CapCN¥46.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6186's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6186 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
151 Want Want China Holdings
12.1x3.9%HK$53.3b
322 Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding
15.6x9.1%HK$55.9b
2319 China Mengniu Dairy
15.3x10.6%HK$69.2b
288 WH Group
11x8.0%HK$84.9b
6186 China Feihe
13.1x8.1%HK$49.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6186 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6186's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Food Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
809 Global Bio-chem Technology Group
0.2xn/aUS$114.21m
No more companies available in this PE range
6186 13.1xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6186 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Food industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6186's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6186 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio16.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6186 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6186 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$5.50
HK$5.27
-4.1%
19.6%HK$7.21HK$4.29n/a13
Dec ’25HK$5.73
HK$5.11
-10.8%
21.5%HK$7.26HK$3.32n/a14
Nov ’25HK$5.83
HK$5.15
-11.7%
20.0%HK$7.38HK$3.38n/a15
Oct ’25HK$5.88
HK$4.91
-16.6%
15.6%HK$6.55HK$3.42n/a15
Sep ’25HK$4.19
HK$4.76
+13.6%
14.0%HK$6.51HK$3.40n/a15
Aug ’25HK$3.57
HK$4.57
+27.9%
16.5%HK$6.38HK$3.09n/a16
Jul ’25HK$3.61
HK$4.56
+26.3%
16.4%HK$6.36HK$3.08n/a16
Jun ’25HK$3.87
HK$4.73
+22.3%
22.6%HK$7.91HK$3.09n/a17
May ’25HK$4.30
HK$4.67
+8.6%
22.9%HK$7.92HK$3.10n/a18
Apr ’25HK$3.68
HK$4.94
+34.2%
20.8%HK$7.93HK$3.40n/a19
Mar ’25HK$3.89
HK$5.28
+35.7%
20.7%HK$7.98HK$3.64n/a20
Feb ’25HK$3.64
HK$5.34
+46.7%
21.1%HK$8.02HK$3.66n/a20
Jan ’25HK$4.27
HK$5.69
+33.2%
18.6%HK$8.01HK$3.66n/a20
Dec ’24HK$4.49
HK$5.67
+26.4%
18.4%HK$7.98HK$3.64HK$5.7320
Nov ’24HK$4.91
HK$5.73
+16.7%
21.0%HK$8.55HK$3.59HK$5.8320
Oct ’24HK$4.62
HK$5.76
+24.6%
21.0%HK$8.58HK$3.60HK$5.8820
Sep ’24HK$4.72
HK$6.21
+31.6%
21.7%HK$9.26HK$4.51HK$4.1919
Aug ’24HK$4.74
HK$6.87
+44.9%
22.1%HK$10.29HK$4.60HK$3.5717
Jul ’24HK$4.36
HK$7.07
+62.2%
20.2%HK$10.30HK$4.60HK$3.6119
Jun ’24HK$4.54
HK$7.35
+61.9%
16.7%HK$10.47HK$5.79HK$3.8719
May ’24HK$5.28
HK$7.65
+45.0%
16.3%HK$10.78HK$6.11HK$4.3018
Apr ’24HK$5.89
HK$7.68
+30.4%
16.1%HK$10.79HK$6.12HK$3.6818
Mar ’24HK$6.54
HK$8.18
+25.0%
15.1%HK$10.79HK$5.75HK$3.8918
Feb ’24HK$7.67
HK$8.49
+10.7%
18.5%HK$12.66HK$5.84HK$3.6419
Jan ’24HK$6.64
HK$7.95
+19.7%
20.8%HK$12.34HK$5.69HK$4.2719
Dec ’23HK$6.43
HK$7.36
+14.5%
22.7%HK$11.90HK$5.49HK$4.4915

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 05:22
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Feihe Limited is covered by 41 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Sung-yan ChanABCI Securities Company Limited
Jiangqiao TongBOCI Research Ltd.
Ka Ho LiBOCI Research Ltd.