A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Gaodi Holdings Limited's (HKG:1676) 28% Share Price Climb
Gaodi Holdings Limited (HKG:1676) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 79% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Gaodi Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Food industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Gaodi Holdings
How Has Gaodi Holdings Performed Recently?
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Gaodi Holdings' revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Gaodi Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Gaodi Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Gaodi Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 142% in total over the last three years. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.1% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Gaodi Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Gaodi Holdings' P/S
Gaodi Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We didn't quite envision Gaodi Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Gaodi Holdings (of which 3 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Gaodi Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1676
Gaodi Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the packaging and sale of seafood products in the People’s Republic of China.
Slight with mediocre balance sheet.