Stock Analysis

Yihai International Holding (HKG:1579) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

SEHK:1579
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Yihai International Holding Ltd. (HKG:1579) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 18th of June to CN¥0.8154. This takes the annual payment to 4.9% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Yihai International Holding's stock price has increased by 51% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Yihai International Holding

Yihai International Holding's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Before this announcement, Yihai International Holding was paying out 85% of earnings, but a comparatively small of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.

EPS is set to grow by 32.8% over the next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continues, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 87% which is a bit high but can definitely be sustainable.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1579 Historic Dividend April 27th 2024

Yihai International Holding's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Yihai International Holding's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. If the company cuts once, it definitely isn't argument against the possibility of it cutting in the future. The annual payment during the last 6 years was CN¥0.0498 in 2018, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CN¥0.74. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 57% a year over that time. Yihai International Holding has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

Yihai International Holding's Dividend Might Lack Growth

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that Yihai International Holding has grown earnings per share at 10% per year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Yihai International Holding's payments are rock solid. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Yihai International Holding is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Yihai International Holding that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Yihai International Holding not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.