Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against China CBM Group Company Limited's (HKG:8270) Share Price Following 29% Dive

SEHK:8270
Source: Shutterstock

China CBM Group Company Limited (HKG:8270) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 89% in the last year.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, China CBM Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 1.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

It looks like earnings growth has deserted China CBM Group recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this benign earnings growth rate will likely underperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for China CBM Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8270 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 7th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China CBM Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For China CBM Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China CBM Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no earnings growth to show for over the last three years either. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why China CBM Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On China CBM Group's P/E

Shares in China CBM Group have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of China CBM Group revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with China CBM Group, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China CBM Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:8270

China CBM Group

An investment holding company, engages in the exploitation, liquefaction production, and sale of natural gas and coalbed gas in the People’s Republic of China.

Adequate balance sheet slight.

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