Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hans Energy Company Limited (HKG:554) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Hans Energy Carry?
As you can see below, Hans Energy had HK$768.2m of debt, at December 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had HK$118.2m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$650.0m.
A Look At Hans Energy's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hans Energy had liabilities of HK$348.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$585.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$118.2m in cash and HK$358.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$458.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of HK$588.6m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hans Energy will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Hans Energy made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$2.0b, which is a fall of 21%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Hans Energy's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$26m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$16m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hans Energy that you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About SEHK:554
Hans Energy
An investment holding company, provides terminal, jetties, storage tanks, and warehousing and logistic services for petroleum, liquid chemical, and gas products in the People’s Republic of China.
Excellent balance sheet and overvalued.