AAG Energy Holdings Limited

SEHK:2686 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$6.2b

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AAG Energy Holdings Valuation

Is 2686 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2686 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2686 (HK$1.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$3.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2686 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2686?

Key metric: As 2686 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2686. This is calculated by dividing 2686's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2686's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4x
EarningsCN¥1.42b
Market CapCN¥5.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2686's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2686 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
467 United Energy Group
n/a57.3%HK$7.8b
353 Energy International Investments Holdings
10.3xn/aHK$502.5m
228 China Energy Development Holdings
10.9xn/aHK$742.1m
8270 China CBM Group
24.4xn/aHK$158.9m
2686 AAG Energy Holdings
4xn/aHK$6.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2686 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2686's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
276 Mongolia Energy
0.07xn/aUS$16.44m
663 King Stone Energy Group
1.3xn/aUS$15.51m
No more companies available in this PE range
2686 4.0xIndustry Avg. 9.6xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2686 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry average (6.3x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2686's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2686 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 2686's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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