United Energy Group Valuation
Is 467 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 467 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 467 (HK$0.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$1.34)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 467 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 467?
Key metric: As 467 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 467's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.5x |
| Sales | HK$15.80b |
| Market Cap | HK$7.75b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 0.4x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 467's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.6x | ||
228 China Energy Development Holdings | 2.1x | n/a | HK$705.6m |
353 Energy International Investments Holdings | 2.2x | n/a | HK$524.1m |
1164 CGN Mining | 1.6x | 15.2% | HK$13.8b |
702 Sino Oil and Gas Holdings | 0.4x | n/a | HK$174.0m |
467 United Energy Group | 0.5x | 6.1% | HK$7.8b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 467 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 467's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Oil and Gas Industry?
| 11 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
386 China Petroleum & Chemical | 0.1x | 0.9% | US$96.94b |
346 Yanchang Petroleum International | 0.009x | n/a | US$39.57m |
1393 Hidili Industry International Development | 0.1x | n/a | US$36.68m |
681 Chinese People Holdings | 0.06x | n/a | US$22.96m |
| 11 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 467 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Oil and Gas industry average (0.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 467's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.5x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.4x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 467 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$0.30 | HK$0.47 +55.0% | 35.5% | HK$0.63 | HK$0.30 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’25 | HK$0.33 | HK$0.47 +40.9% | 35.5% | HK$0.63 | HK$0.30 | n/a | 2 |
| Oct ’25 | HK$0.39 | HK$0.47 +20.8% | 35.5% | HK$0.63 | HK$0.30 | n/a | 2 |
| Sep ’25 | HK$0.43 | HK$0.47 +6.9% | 35.5% | HK$0.63 | HK$0.30 | n/a | 2 |
| Aug ’25 | HK$0.33 | HK$0.47 +40.9% | 35.5% | HK$0.63 | HK$0.30 | n/a | 2 |
| Jul ’25 | HK$0.30 | HK$0.78 +154.6% | 59.3% | HK$1.40 | HK$0.30 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | HK$0.64 | HK$1.18 +84.4% | 18.6% | HK$1.40 | HK$0.96 | n/a | 2 |
| May ’25 | HK$0.56 | HK$1.35 +141.1% | 8.0% | HK$1.45 | HK$1.20 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | HK$0.56 | HK$1.35 +141.1% | 8.0% | HK$1.45 | HK$1.20 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$0.49 | HK$1.35 +175.5% | 8.0% | HK$1.45 | HK$1.20 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$0.83 | HK$1.35 +62.7% | 8.0% | HK$1.45 | HK$1.20 | n/a | 3 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$0.85 | HK$1.35 +58.8% | 8.0% | HK$1.45 | HK$1.20 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$0.74 | HK$1.35 +82.4% | 8.0% | HK$1.45 | HK$1.20 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$1.24 | HK$1.33 +6.9% | 9.4% | HK$1.45 | HK$1.20 | HK$0.33 | 2 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$1.15 | HK$1.40 +21.7% | 14.3% | HK$1.60 | HK$1.20 | HK$0.39 | 2 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$1.04 | HK$1.48 +41.8% | 8.5% | HK$1.60 | HK$1.35 | HK$0.43 | 2 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$0.99 | HK$1.48 +49.0% | 8.5% | HK$1.60 | HK$1.35 | HK$0.33 | 2 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$0.76 | HK$1.48 +94.1% | 8.5% | HK$1.60 | HK$1.35 | HK$0.30 | 2 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$1.02 | HK$1.48 +44.6% | 8.5% | HK$1.60 | HK$1.35 | HK$0.64 | 2 |
| May ’24 | HK$1.18 | HK$1.40 +18.6% | 14.3% | HK$1.60 | HK$1.20 | HK$0.56 | 2 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$0.72 | HK$1.49 +106.3% | 19.2% | HK$1.77 | HK$1.20 | HK$0.49 | 2 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$0.78 | HK$1.49 +90.4% | 19.2% | HK$1.77 | HK$1.20 | HK$0.83 | 2 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$0.77 | HK$1.49 +92.9% | 19.2% | HK$1.77 | HK$1.20 | HK$0.85 | 2 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$0.71 | HK$1.49 +109.2% | 19.2% | HK$1.77 | HK$1.20 | HK$0.74 | 2 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$0.80 | HK$1.49 +85.6% | 19.2% | HK$1.77 | HK$1.20 | HK$1.24 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.
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