Stock Analysis

AEON Credit Service (Asia) (HKG:900) Will Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.24

SEHK:900
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The board of AEON Credit Service (Asia) Company Limited (HKG:900) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of July, with investors receiving HK$0.24 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 8.2%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for AEON Credit Service (Asia)

AEON Credit Service (Asia)'s Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Before making this announcement, AEON Credit Service (Asia) was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 51.6% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 35% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
SEHK:900 Historic Dividend May 9th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of HK$0.35 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of HK$0.48. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.2% a year over that time. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

AEON Credit Service (Asia) May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though AEON Credit Service (Asia)'s EPS has declined at around 2.1% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think AEON Credit Service (Asia) will make a great income stock. While AEON Credit Service (Asia) is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, AEON Credit Service (Asia) has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. Is AEON Credit Service (Asia) not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.