Stock Analysis

AEON Credit Service (Asia) (HKG:900) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.22

SEHK:900
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The board of AEON Credit Service (Asia) Company Limited (HKG:900) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$0.22 per share on the 20th of July. This means the annual payment is 8.3% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for AEON Credit Service (Asia)

AEON Credit Service (Asia)'s Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, AEON Credit Service (Asia)'s earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 0.1% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 50% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:900 Historic Dividend May 19th 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$0.35 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.44. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 2.3% per annum over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Although it's important to note that AEON Credit Service (Asia)'s earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. AEON Credit Service (Asia) is struggling to find viable investments, so it is returning more to shareholders. This isn't necessarily bad, but we wouldn't expect rapid dividend growth in the future.

In Summary

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, AEON Credit Service (Asia) has 4 warning signs (and 3 which are concerning) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.