Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Company Limited's (HKG:6866) Share Price

SEHK:6866
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When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may consider Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance Company Limited (HKG:6866) as a highly attractive investment with its 3.8x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6866 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 4.4%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 16% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zuoli Kechuang Micro-finance is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.