Stock Analysis

Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:1468) 32% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

SEHK:1468
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The Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:1468) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 32%. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s P/S ratio of 3.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Capital Markets industry in Hong Kong is also close to 3.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1468 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2025

What Does Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 59%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 58% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)'s share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kingkey Financial International (Holdings) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1468

Kingkey Financial International (Holdings)

An investment holding company, provides insurance brokerage services in the People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Denmark.

Excellent balance sheet low.