Stock Analysis

Momentum Financial Holdings Limited's (HKG:1152) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

SEHK:1152
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Momentum Financial Holdings Limited's (HKG:1152) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

For instance, Momentum Financial Holdings' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Momentum Financial Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1152 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 4th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Momentum Financial Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Momentum Financial Holdings would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.1% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Momentum Financial Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

What We Can Learn From Momentum Financial Holdings' P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Momentum Financial Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Momentum Financial Holdings, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Momentum Financial Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.