Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that JLogo Holdings Limited (HKG:8527) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for JLogo Holdings
What Is JLogo Holdings's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 JLogo Holdings had debt of S$2.88m, up from S$2.50m in one year. However, it also had S$630.0k in cash, and so its net debt is S$2.25m.
How Healthy Is JLogo Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, JLogo Holdings had liabilities of S$7.68m due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$5.64m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$630.0k as well as receivables valued at S$916.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$11.8m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since JLogo Holdings has a market capitalization of S$46.2m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since JLogo Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, JLogo Holdings reported revenue of S$18m, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate JLogo Holdings's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost S$2.0m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of S$2.2m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with JLogo Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:8527
JLogo Holdings
An investment holding company, owns, operates, and manages restaurants in Singapore and Malaysia.
Slight and slightly overvalued.