David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shangri-La Asia Limited (HKG:69) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Shangri-La Asia
What Is Shangri-La Asia's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shangri-La Asia had US$5.61b in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$825.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$4.79b.
How Strong Is Shangri-La Asia's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shangri-La Asia had liabilities of US$1.73b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$5.48b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$825.0m and US$239.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$6.14b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$2.81b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Shangri-La Asia would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shangri-La Asia can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Over 12 months, Shangri-La Asia reported revenue of US$1.5b, which is a gain of 18%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Shangri-La Asia had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$115m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through US$170m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shangri-La Asia .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:69
Shangri-La Asia
An investment holding company, develops, owns/leases, operates, and manages hotels and associated properties worldwide.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.