Stock Analysis

Is China YuHua Education (HKG:6169) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:6169
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that China YuHua Education Corporation Limited (HKG:6169) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for China YuHua Education

What Is China YuHua Education's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of February 2021 China YuHua Education had CN¥2.85b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.33b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.78b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.07b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6169 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2021

How Strong Is China YuHua Education's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China YuHua Education had liabilities of CN¥2.00b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.78b in cash and CN¥75.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.46b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given China YuHua Education has a market capitalization of CN¥22.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

China YuHua Education's net debt is only 0.77 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 22.0 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, China YuHua Education grew its EBIT by 97% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China YuHua Education can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, China YuHua Education actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

China YuHua Education's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that China YuHua Education is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for China YuHua Education you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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