Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shun Ho Holdings Limited (HKG:253) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Shun Ho Holdings
What Is Shun Ho Holdings's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shun Ho Holdings had debt of HK$836.7m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from HK$1.29b over a year. On the flip side, it has HK$260.4m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$576.4m.
How Strong Is Shun Ho Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shun Ho Holdings had liabilities of HK$559.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$561.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$260.4m in cash and HK$13.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$846.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$236.9m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Shun Ho Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
We'd say that Shun Ho Holdings's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.5), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 11.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Pleasingly, Shun Ho Holdings is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 301% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shun Ho Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shun Ho Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Shun Ho Holdings's level of total liabilities was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Shun Ho Holdings's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shun Ho Holdings (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:253
Shun Ho Holdings
An investment holding company, invests in and operates hotels in Hong Kong, the People’s Republic of China, and the United Kingdom.
Good value with imperfect balance sheet.