Stock Analysis

Fosun Tourism Group (HKG:1992) Surges 59% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

SEHK:1992
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Fosun Tourism Group (HKG:1992) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 59% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 38% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it would still be understandable if you think Fosun Tourism Group is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.3x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have P/S ratios above 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Fosun Tourism Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1992 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

How Has Fosun Tourism Group Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Fosun Tourism Group has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Fosun Tourism Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Fosun Tourism Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 143% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.3% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 16% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Fosun Tourism Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Fosun Tourism Group's P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Fosun Tourism Group's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As expected, our analysis of Fosun Tourism Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Fosun Tourism Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.