Stock Analysis

Hope Life International Holdings Limited (HKG:1683) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 27%

SEHK:1683
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Hope Life International Holdings Limited (HKG:1683) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 82%, which is great even in a bull market.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Hope Life International Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Services industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Hope Life International Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1683 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 30th 2024

How Hope Life International Holdings Has Been Performing

Hope Life International Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hope Life International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hope Life International Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 50% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 121% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Hope Life International Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Hope Life International Holdings' P/S?

Hope Life International Holdings' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

To our surprise, Hope Life International Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hope Life International Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hope Life International Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hope Life International Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.