Stock Analysis

Is Best Food Holding (HKG:1488) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:1488
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Best Food Holding Company Limited (HKG:1488) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does Best Food Holding Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Best Food Holding had CN¥524.7m of debt in June 2020, down from CN¥683.8m, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥183.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥341.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1488 Debt to Equity History December 10th 2020

How Strong Is Best Food Holding's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Best Food Holding had liabilities of CN¥360.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥921.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥183.4m and CN¥33.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥666.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Best Food Holding would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Best Food Holding will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Best Food Holding wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 28%, to CN¥752m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Best Food Holding's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥95m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. It's fair to say the loss of CN¥161m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Best Food Holding has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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