Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Best Food Holding Company Limited (HKG:1488) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Best Food Holding
How Much Debt Does Best Food Holding Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Best Food Holding had CN¥501.6m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥151.7m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥350.0m.
A Look At Best Food Holding's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Best Food Holding had liabilities of CN¥379.1m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥777.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥151.7m in cash and CN¥39.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥966.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥863.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Best Food Holding's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Best Food Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Best Food Holding made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥651m, which is a fall of 35%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Best Food Holding's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥97m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. It's fair to say the loss of CN¥141m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Best Food Holding .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SEHK:1488
Best Food Holding
An investment holding company, operates a chain of restaurants in the People's Republic of China.
Low with imperfect balance sheet.