If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Niraku GC Holdings (HKG:1245) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Niraku GC Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.023 = JP¥1.3b ÷ (JP¥68b - JP¥12b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
Thus, Niraku GC Holdings has an ROCE of 2.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Hospitality industry average of 2.9%.
Check out our latest analysis for Niraku GC Holdings
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Niraku GC Holdings, check out these free graphs here.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Niraku GC Holdings Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Niraku GC Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 4.0%, but since then they've fallen to 2.3%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
Our Take On Niraku GC Holdings' ROCE
While returns have fallen for Niraku GC Holdings in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. However, despite the promising trends, the stock has fallen 64% over the last five years, so there might be an opportunity here for astute investors. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
If you'd like to know more about Niraku GC Holdings, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
While Niraku GC Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1245
Niraku GC Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the operation of pachinko and pachislot halls in Japan.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.