Stock Analysis

Is Greatime International Holdings (HKG:844) A Risky Investment?

SEHK:844
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Greatime International Holdings Limited (HKG:844) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Greatime International Holdings

What Is Greatime International Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Greatime International Holdings had CN¥162.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥107.7m, over one year. But it also has CN¥235.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥73.2m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:844 Debt to Equity History December 27th 2024

How Strong Is Greatime International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Greatime International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥335.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥4.19m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥235.3m and CN¥71.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥32.1m.

Greatime International Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥137.1m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Greatime International Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Greatime International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Greatime International Holdings reported revenue of CN¥508m, which is a gain of 7.3%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

So How Risky Is Greatime International Holdings?

Although Greatime International Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥99m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Greatime International Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:844

Greatime International Holdings

An investment holding company, manufactures and sells innerwear products and knitted fabrics for infants and adults in the People’s Republic of China.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.

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