Is Carry Wealth Holdings (HKG:643) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Carry Wealth Holdings Limited (HKG:643) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Carry Wealth Holdings
How Much Debt Does Carry Wealth Holdings Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Carry Wealth Holdings had debt of HK$56.3m, up from HK$32.6m in one year. But on the other hand it also has HK$136.8m in cash, leading to a HK$80.5m net cash position.
How Strong Is Carry Wealth Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Carry Wealth Holdings had liabilities of HK$111.3m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$19.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$136.8m as well as receivables valued at HK$26.8m due within 12 months. So it actually has HK$33.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that Carry Wealth Holdings is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Carry Wealth Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Carry Wealth Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Carry Wealth Holdings reported revenue of HK$547m, which is a gain of 14%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
So How Risky Is Carry Wealth Holdings?
While Carry Wealth Holdings lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow HK$4.6m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Carry Wealth Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:643
Carry Wealth Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures, trades in, and markets garment products for various brands in the United States, Mainland China, Europe, Hong Kong, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.