High Fashion International's(HKG:608) Share Price Is Down 39% Over The Past Five Years.
The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term High Fashion International Limited (HKG:608) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 39% over a half decade. Unhappily, the share price slid 4.9% in the last week.
Check out our latest analysis for High Fashion International
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Looking back five years, both High Fashion International's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 23% per year. The share price decline of 9% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on High Fashion International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between High Fashion International's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that High Fashion International's TSR, which was a 29% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in High Fashion International had a tough year, with a total loss of 12%, against a market gain of about 42%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - High Fashion International has 5 warning signs (and 2 which don't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
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About SEHK:608
High Fashion International
An investment holding company, manufactures and trades in garments in China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.