Speedy Global Holdings Limited's (HKG:540) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement
When close to half the companies operating in the Luxury industry in Hong Kong have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.6x, you may consider Speedy Global Holdings Limited (HKG:540) as an attractive investment with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Speedy Global Holdings
What Does Speedy Global Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Speedy Global Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Speedy Global Holdings will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Speedy Global Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Speedy Global Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Speedy Global Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 18%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 33% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Speedy Global Holdings' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Speedy Global Holdings' P/S
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that Speedy Global Holdings maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Speedy Global Holdings you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:540
Speedy Global Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the provision of apparel supply chain services in the People’s Republic of China, Cambodia, and Hong Kong.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.