Why We're Not Concerned Yet About AOM International Group Company Limited's (HKG:381) 26% Share Price Plunge

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AOM International Group Company Limited (HKG:381) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Nonetheless, the last 30 days have barely left a scratch on the stock's annual performance, which is up a whopping 423%.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Leisure industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may still consider AOM International Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for AOM International Group

What Does AOM International Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at AOM International Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on AOM International Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For AOM International Group?

AOM International Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.4%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 64% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 8.7% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why AOM International Group's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From AOM International Group's P/S?

AOM International Group's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that AOM International Group maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for AOM International Group (3 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.