Stock Analysis

Would Pak Tak International (HKG:2668) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

SEHK:2668
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Pak Tak International Limited (HKG:2668) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Pak Tak International

How Much Debt Does Pak Tak International Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pak Tak International had debt of HK$375.4m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from HK$513.2m over a year. However, it also had HK$39.6m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$335.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2668 Debt to Equity History August 31st 2023

How Healthy Is Pak Tak International's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Pak Tak International had liabilities of HK$519.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$84.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$39.6m and HK$609.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has HK$45.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Pak Tak International is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Pak Tak International's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Pak Tak International had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 78%, to HK$436m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Pak Tak International's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$88m at the EBIT level. On a more positive note, the company does have liquid assets, so it has a bit of time to improve its operations before the debt becomes an acute problem. But we'd want to see some positive free cashflow before spending much time on trying to understand the stock. So it seems too risky for our taste. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Pak Tak International (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pak Tak International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.