Stock Analysis
Earnings Tell The Story For Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings Company Limited (HKG:2298) As Its Stock Soars 28%
Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings Company Limited (HKG:2298) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 30% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 55% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2298
Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the design, research, development, and sale of branded intimate wear products in the People‘s Republic of China.