Stock Analysis

Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings (HKG:2298) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

SEHK:2298
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Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. Having said that, after a brief look, Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings (HKG:2298) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.021 = CN¥48m ÷ (CN¥3.5b - CN¥1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Thus, Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings has an ROCE of 2.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Luxury industry average of 11%.

See our latest analysis for Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings

roce
SEHK:2298 Return on Capital Employed December 5th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

How Are Returns Trending?

The trend of ROCE at Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings is showing some signs of weakness. To be more specific, today's ROCE was 11% five years ago but has since fallen to 2.1%. In addition to that, Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings is now employing 44% less capital than it was five years ago. The fact that both are shrinking is an indication that the business is going through some tough times. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.

While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 34%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 2.1%. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.

In Conclusion...

To see Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings reducing the capital employed in the business in tandem with diminishing returns, is concerning. We expect this has contributed to the stock plummeting 91% during the last five years. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.