Stock Analysis

Cautious Investors Not Rewarding Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings Company Limited's (HKG:2298) Performance Completely

SEHK:2298
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.6x in the Luxury industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings Company Limited's (HKG:2298) P/S ratio of 0.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2298 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 8th 2024

What Does Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 14% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 34% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 12%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Cosmo Lady (China) Holdings you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.