Stock Analysis

Does Regina Miracle International (Holdings) (HKG:2199) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:2199
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Regina Miracle International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:2199) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Regina Miracle International (Holdings)

What Is Regina Miracle International (Holdings)'s Debt?

As you can see below, Regina Miracle International (Holdings) had HK$4.29b of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has HK$698.7m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$3.59b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2199 Debt to Equity History December 10th 2021

How Strong Is Regina Miracle International (Holdings)'s Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Regina Miracle International (Holdings) had liabilities of HK$2.11b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$3.87b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$698.7m and HK$1.51b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$3.77b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Regina Miracle International (Holdings) has a market capitalization of HK$7.61b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Regina Miracle International (Holdings)'s debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.9 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Pleasingly, Regina Miracle International (Holdings) is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 134% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Regina Miracle International (Holdings)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Regina Miracle International (Holdings) burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Regina Miracle International (Holdings)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Regina Miracle International (Holdings)'s debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Regina Miracle International (Holdings) (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.