Stock Analysis

Is Samsonite International (HKG:1910) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:1910
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Samsonite International S.A. (HKG:1910) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Samsonite International

How Much Debt Does Samsonite International Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Samsonite International had US$3.18b of debt, an increase on US$2.58b, over one year. However, it also had US$1.42b in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.76b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1910 Debt to Equity History July 14th 2021

How Healthy Is Samsonite International's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Samsonite International had liabilities of US$693.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.69b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.42b in cash and US$127.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.84b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$2.80b, we think shareholders really should watch Samsonite International's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Samsonite International can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Samsonite International made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$1.3b, which is a fall of 62%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Samsonite International's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$328m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$84m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Samsonite International you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1910

Samsonite International

Engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of travel luggage bags in North America, Asia, Europe, and Latin America.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

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