Stock Analysis

Yadong Group Holdings (HKG:1795) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

SEHK:1795
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Having said that, from a first glance at Yadong Group Holdings (HKG:1795) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Yadong Group Holdings is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.19 = CN¥55m ÷ (CN¥821m - CN¥527m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

So, Yadong Group Holdings has an ROCE of 19%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Luxury industry average of 10% it's much better.

See our latest analysis for Yadong Group Holdings

roce
SEHK:1795 Return on Capital Employed May 22nd 2024

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Yadong Group Holdings' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Yadong Group Holdings.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Yadong Group Holdings, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 19% from 42% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Yadong Group Holdings has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 64%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

What We Can Learn From Yadong Group Holdings' ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Yadong Group Holdings is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 155% gain to shareholders who have held over the last three years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

On a final note, we found 4 warning signs for Yadong Group Holdings (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Yadong Group Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.