Goodbaby International Holdings Valuation

Is 1086 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1086 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1086 (HK$0.87) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$2.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1086 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1086?

Key metric: As 1086 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1086. This is calculated by dividing 1086's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1086's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	4x
Earnings	HK$363.93m
Market Cap	HK$1.27b

1086 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	3.7x
PEG Ratio	-0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1086's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1086 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.8x
381 Kiu Hung International Holdings	79.3x	n/a	HK$1.4b
6858 Honma Golf	8.5x	n/a	HK$2.0b
1126 Dream International	4.1x	n/a	HK$3.2b
869 Playmates Toys	3.3x	n/a	HK$755.2m
1086 Goodbaby International Holdings	4x	-5.9%	HK$1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1086 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (23.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1086's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Leisure Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1086 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the Asian Leisure industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1086's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1086 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	4x
Fair PE Ratio	4.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1086 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.