Stock Analysis

Does ManpowerGroup Greater China's (HKG:2180) Share Price Gain of 31% Match Its Business Performance?

SEHK:2180
Source: Shutterstock

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the ManpowerGroup Greater China Limited (HKG:2180) share price is 31% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 7.1% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. ManpowerGroup Greater China hasn't been listed for long, so it's still not clear if it is a long term winner.

Check out our latest analysis for ManpowerGroup Greater China

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last year ManpowerGroup Greater China grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 2.9%. The share price gain of 31% certainly outpaced the EPS growth. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it a year ago.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:2180 Earnings Per Share Growth December 10th 2020

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on ManpowerGroup Greater China's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for ManpowerGroup Greater China the TSR over the last year was 35%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

ManpowerGroup Greater China shareholders should be happy with the total gain of 35% over the last twelve months, including dividends. Unfortunately the share price is down 7.3% over the last quarter. It may simply be that the share price got ahead of itself, although there may have been fundamental developments that are weighing on it. Investors who like to make money usually check up on insider purchases, such as the price paid, and total amount bought. You can find out about the insider purchases of ManpowerGroup Greater China by clicking this link.

ManpowerGroup Greater China is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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