Stock Analysis

Would World Super Holdings (HKG:8612) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

SEHK:8612
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, World Super Holdings Limited (HKG:8612) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for World Super Holdings

What Is World Super Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, World Super Holdings had HK$17.2m of debt, up from HK$5.59m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have HK$2.34m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$14.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:8612 Debt to Equity History May 4th 2021

How Strong Is World Super Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that World Super Holdings had liabilities of HK$49.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$9.00m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$2.34m and HK$34.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$21.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded World Super Holdings shares are worth a total of HK$137.5m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since World Super Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, World Super Holdings reported revenue of HK$66m, which is a gain of 43%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate World Super Holdings's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$13m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through HK$45m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with World Super Holdings (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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