Stock Analysis

WLS Holdings (HKG:8021) Is Posting Healthy Earnings, But It Is Not All Good News

SEHK:8021
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WLS Holdings Limited's (HKG:8021) stock rose after it released a robust earnings report. Despite the strong profit numbers, we believe that there are some deeper issues which investors should look into.

See our latest analysis for WLS Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:8021 Earnings and Revenue History December 21st 2021

Examining Cashflow Against WLS Holdings' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

WLS Holdings has an accrual ratio of 0.21 for the year to October 2021. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of HK$63m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of HK$59.8m. We saw that FCF was HK$2.2m a year ago though, so WLS Holdings has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part. One positive for WLS Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of WLS Holdings.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that WLS Holdings' profit was boosted by unusual items worth HK$76m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that WLS Holdings' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to October 2021. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On WLS Holdings' Profit Performance

Summing up, WLS Holdings received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at WLS Holdings' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you want to do dive deeper into WLS Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for WLS Holdings (1 is concerning) you should be familiar with.

Our examination of WLS Holdings has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.