Stock Analysis

Does Techtronic Industries (HKG:669) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:669
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Techtronic Industries Company Limited (HKG:669) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Techtronic Industries

What Is Techtronic Industries's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Techtronic Industries had US$2.99b of debt at June 2023, down from US$3.39b a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$1.72b in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.27b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:669 Debt to Equity History September 21st 2023

How Healthy Is Techtronic Industries' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Techtronic Industries had liabilities of US$5.90b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.84b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$1.72b in cash and US$2.06b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.96b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Techtronic Industries is worth a massive US$18.6b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Techtronic Industries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.91. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.6 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Techtronic Industries's EBIT dived 10%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Techtronic Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Techtronic Industries recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Techtronic Industries's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Techtronic Industries's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. Given our hesitation about the stock, it would be good to know if Techtronic Industries insiders have sold any shares recently. You click here to find out if insiders have sold recently.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Techtronic Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.