What Northeast Electric Development Company Limited's (HKG:42) 31% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Despite an already strong run, Northeast Electric Development Company Limited (HKG:42) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 31% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 27% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may consider Northeast Electric Development as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Northeast Electric Development

What Does Northeast Electric Development's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Northeast Electric Development's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Northeast Electric Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Northeast Electric Development?

Northeast Electric Development's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 97% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 27% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Northeast Electric Development is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Northeast Electric Development's P/S

Northeast Electric Development's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Northeast Electric Development revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't impacting its high P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current industry expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Northeast Electric Development (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.