Be Wary Of Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (HKG:3898) And Its Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. In light of that, when we looked at Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric (HKG:3898) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.056 = CN¥1.9b ÷ (CN¥44b - CN¥8.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Thus, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric has an ROCE of 5.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Electrical industry average of 8.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric
In the above chart we have measured Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 18% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
The Bottom Line
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. In spite of that, the stock has delivered a 19% return to shareholders who held over the last five years. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
Like most companies, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric does come with some risks, and we've found 4 warning signs that you should be aware of.
While Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3898
Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric
Engages in the manufacture and sale of propulsion and control systems to rolling stock industry in Mainland China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.