Sinotruk (Hong Kong) (HKG:3808) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Sinotruk (Hong Kong) (HKG:3808) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Sinotruk (Hong Kong):
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.049 = CN¥2.1b ÷ (CN¥105b - CN¥61b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
So, Sinotruk (Hong Kong) has an ROCE of 4.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 6.7%.
See our latest analysis for Sinotruk (Hong Kong)
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Sinotruk (Hong Kong) compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Sinotruk (Hong Kong).
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 4.9% from 16% five years ago. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a side note, Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s current liabilities are still rather high at 58% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
The Bottom Line On Sinotruk (Hong Kong)'s ROCE
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Sinotruk (Hong Kong) have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. However the stock has delivered a 81% return to shareholders over the last five years, so investors might be expecting the trends to turn around. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Sinotruk (Hong Kong) and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:3808
Sinotruk (Hong Kong)
An investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of heavy-duty trucks (HDT), medium-heavy duty trucks, light duty trucks (LDT), buses, and related parts and components in Mainland China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.