Stock Analysis

Shanghai Industrial Holdings (HKG:363) Is Reducing Its Dividend To HK$0.50

SEHK:363
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Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited's (HKG:363) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to HK$0.50 on the 16th of June. The dividend yield of 8.6% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Industrial Holdings

Shanghai Industrial Holdings' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Shanghai Industrial Holdings' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 50.2% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 29% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SEHK:363 Historic Dividend April 5th 2023

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was HK$2.16 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.92. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 8.2% per year. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. In the last five years, Shanghai Industrial Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 5.9% per annum. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

In Summary

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Industrial Holdings (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:363

Shanghai Industrial Holdings

An investment holding company, engages in the infrastructure and environmental protection, real estate, consumer products, and comprehensive healthcare operations businesses in Hong Kong, China, rest of Asia, and internationally.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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