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- SEHK:2357
Returns On Capital At AviChina Industry & Technology (HKG:2357) Have Hit The Brakes
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at AviChina Industry & Technology (HKG:2357), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for AviChina Industry & Technology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.079 = CN¥5.1b ÷ (CN¥134b - CN¥70b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Therefore, AviChina Industry & Technology has an ROCE of 7.9%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 7.9%.
See our latest analysis for AviChina Industry & Technology
In the above chart we have measured AviChina Industry & Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for AviChina Industry & Technology.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of AviChina Industry & Technology's historical ROCE trend, it doesn't exactly demand attention. The company has employed 77% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 7.9%. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
On a side note, AviChina Industry & Technology's current liabilities are still rather high at 52% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Bottom Line On AviChina Industry & Technology's ROCE
As we've seen above, AviChina Industry & Technology's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 16% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for AviChina Industry & Technology you'll probably want to know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2357
AviChina Industry & Technology
Engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of civil aviation and defense products in Hong Kong and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.