Stock Analysis

CSC Holdings' (HKG:235) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye

SEHK:235
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CSC Holdings Limited's (HKG:235) solid earnings announcement recently didn't do much to the stock price. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

Check out our latest analysis for CSC Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:235 Earnings and Revenue History May 7th 2024

A Closer Look At CSC Holdings' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

CSC Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.28 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of HK$314m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of HK$26.8m. CSC Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that it seems that a recent tax benefit and some unusual items have impacted its profit (and this its accrual ratio).

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CSC Holdings.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Finally, we should also talk about the HK$19m in unusual items that weighed on profit over the year. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect CSC Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

An Unusual Tax Situation

Moving on from the unusual items and the non-operating revenue, we note that CSC Holdings profited from a tax benefit which contributedHK$13m to profit. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. And since it previously lost money, it may well simply indicate the realisation of past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

Our Take On CSC Holdings' Profit Performance

Summing up, CSC Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, while its tax benefit is having the opposite effect. Based on these factors, we think CSC Holdings' earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of CSC Holdings.

After our examination into the nature of CSC Holdings' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.