Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Maxicity Holdings Limited (HKG:2295) With Shares Advancing 34%

SEHK:2295
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Maxicity Holdings Limited (HKG:2295) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 152% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Maxicity Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.7x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Maxicity Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2295 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 11th 2024

How Maxicity Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Maxicity Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Maxicity Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Maxicity Holdings?

Maxicity Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 5.7% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 13% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Maxicity Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Maxicity Holdings' P/S

Shares in Maxicity Holdings have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Maxicity Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Maxicity Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If you're unsure about the strength of Maxicity Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.